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Economic Forecasting Survey

Forecast Edition: October 2015

At which meeting will the Fed make its first increase in the federal funds rate?











At which meeting will the Fed make its second increase in the federal funds rate?

When will the U.S. labor market reach a state of full employment?


Global Risks











77% of economists believe that the economy is more likely to do worse than their forecasts, than better.
Here’s what they see as the key sources of risk:





Economic Indicators
GDP (quarterly)

GDP (annual)

CPI

Oil Prices

Unemployment

Nonfarm Payrolls

Federal Funds Rate

10 Year Note

Home Prices

Housing Starts

Recession Probability


Download data for October 2015


GDP (quarterly)

http://projects.wsj.com/econforecast/#ind=gdp&r=20

凡事唯有投入,結果才能深入; 凡事唯有付出,結果才能傑出;
凡事唯有磨鍊,結果才能熟練; 凡事唯有不煩,結果才能不凡。
能與智者同行,你會不同凡響; 能與高人為伍,你能登上巔峰。
你雖不能改變環境,但卻可以轉換心境;你雖不能樣樣勝利,但卻可以事事盡力。
Dr. Chao Yuang Shiang (PH.D in management), Assistant professor,Dep.of Finance,Nanhua University,Taiwan.
website:amazon.com/author/drchao
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